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Category Archives: Risk Management
US Dollar continues to strengthen
One of my main investment themes for the year is the strengthening of the US Dollar. This thesis is based on a couple of fundamental factors coming into play this year: Fed Tapering and the US economy’s relative strength in … Continue reading
Baidu Holding the line
Baidu (BIDU) pierced through $182 yesterday and held above the Jan 3rd highs printing a flagpole pattern. It is poised to open above $182 today which should take us closer to the $200 target. Still holding my long position with … Continue reading
A Short Idea- EEM
Showing relative weakness for several months and a couple of bearish chart patterns, the MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) is a good short idea. Any bounce toward the $40 area most likely will be met with supply. My initial target … Continue reading
Citigroup is next
Citigroup (C) is trying to break out above $54 following the lead of other banks. It had a very strong day Friday and it is supported by the relative strength in the financial group. The prices in the chart indicate … Continue reading
Baidu Holding above the 50 DMA
I remain bullish on Baidu (BIDU) as it holds above the 50 DMA and gets ready to attempt breaking above $176 – $180. I think that $200 is acting like a magnet, but will probably not come without chop. The … Continue reading
Adding Molycorp to my watch list
Molicorp’s (MCP) chart printed a double bottom pattern on Dec. 17 and followed through with a large jump in price last Friday. Volume was very high and the stock looks like it wants to go to $6 and perhaps $7. … Continue reading
Stronger Dollar?
With the Fed starting to taper bond purchases, I expect the US Dollar to gain strength and perhaps commodities to weaken. So I am keeping an eye on the Powershares US Dollar Bullish ETF (UUP) for price confirmation. The chart … Continue reading
Gold Drops!
Here is the drop in gold (GLD) below $117, but expect some buyers to come in again around $114. If and when that breaks, the fall can easily reach $100 in short order. I’m playing this short via GLL adjusting … Continue reading
Goldman Sachs Breaks Out!!
Goldman Sachs (GS) finally broke out yesterday with conviction. It now needs to hold above $172 to confirm the move, but I wouldn’t be surprised if price came down to $170 before resuming its ascent to $200. On Balance Volume … Continue reading
Treasury Bonds Under Pressure
The 20+ year Treasury Bond ETF (TLT) is under pressure and it is getting close to break down the $102 support that has held since August. The 50 Moving Average has become resistance and the On Balance Volume has flattened … Continue reading
